TEXANS (+3) over Colts
You know how a basketball or baseball playoff series doesn't start until the home team loses a game? Well, Houston hasn't played a home game yet and its already October. The Colts are coming off a bye which should have them well rested. I wish I had a Hank Goldbergesque stat that said something like the Colts are 4-1 against the spread on the road coming off a bye in week 4. But alas, I have no such stat so I will go with my gut on this one. Colts win in a squeaker
Chargers (-6.5) over DOLPHINS
In classic Norv Turner fashion the Chargers were poorly coached coming out of the gate and are only now starting to right the ship. For collective Redskins fans, I wave a single, menacing fist towards cheese grater face for running the mid-90's Redskins into the ground. I respect what Big Tuna (not Jim Halpert) has done in Miami so I'm really tempted to go with the Fish here. But talent wins over coaching and management. Chargers by a touchdown.
Redskins (+6) over EAGLES
Aside from their week 1 stinker, no team has impressed as much as the Redskins. And yet they are still six point dogs to an Eagles team that lost to the Bears last week.
No one, not even Vegas, gives the Skins respect. But they will after this game. Friend of the blog, citizenjake, reports Brian Westbrook's brother, Byron Westbrook, would be very surprised if his brother played this week. The Eagles without Westbrook are like the Bulls without Jordan, the Athletics without Van Popple or Blogengood without Livengood. Skins to win it outright.
LIONS (+3.5) over Bears
It's the end of an era in Motown with the firing of Matt Millen. To Lions fans and players, a great burden has been lifted from their shoulders. The Lions lose Millen's 'stache but gain cohesion and solidarity in the front office. The Bears are coming off a lucky win against the Westbrook-less Eagles while the Lions should be more focused and hungry for a win. Yep, give me the Lions at home.
Seahawks (+7) over GIANTS

The Seahawks finally get some decent receivers back from injury, so they know have the fortune of resting Steve Largent. On the Giants side of the ball, Plax the wife beater, is suspended for a game for missing team meetings. I love how the Giants and the NFL suspended him for missing a team meeting, not for beating his wife. Speedster Dom Hixon starts in Plax's spot and ishould run by the Seahawks secondary. Eli Manning will inevitably underthrow him and have the pass picked off. Giants win a close one.
RAVENS (+3) over Titans
How come their is no mention of the Ravens in the Wire? In season 4, Namond Brice wears a throwback Eagles jersey and no one raises an eyebrow? The Orioles are mentioned--McNulty and Bunk even go to a game. But the Ravens get no love in West Baltimore. Somehow I think this make Ray Lewis upset, which isn't good news for Kerry Collins, Chris Johnson or LenDale "Triple Deuce" White.
PANTHERS (-9.5) over Chiefs
The Chiefs threw a wrench into my titanium alloy lock last week when they forced 47 turnovers and beat the Broncos. Therefore I can't take the Chiefs on principle. I will agree the team looks better with Damon Huard at the helm, but the fact remains...they are still the bungling Chefs. The Panthers defense is a lot better than the Broncos woeful unit, so Larry Johnson won't be able to run wild. Panthers in a romp.
BRONCOS (-3) over Bucs
Cutler's insulin level must have been really low last week since he turned the ball over 58 times. I didn't watch the game, but was I following with updates on my phone. Every time I refreshed, the caption read "Cutler Intercepted by Kansas City." Somehow the friendly confines of Denver and the thin air propel this team to victory, even if Cutler throws 67 picks.
Patriots (-3) over 49ers
If Bill Belichick can't figure out a way to get Randy Moss the ball, the Patriots and one of my fantasy teams are screwed. Somehow, I think Bill spent the bye week doing cool stuff no one even knows about. Pats to win by a touchdown.
CARDINALS (even) over Bills
This might be the hardest game on the board, evidenced by the Vegas line. This Bills team has benefited from an easy schedule and since they haven't had success for the better part of a decade, I think their young players start believing the hype and lose focus. They've fallen behind the past two games and were only able to come back since their opponents were terrible. The Cardinals went 0-2 on their East Coast trip, but that's only because they were staying in a hotel near Tyson's Corner. That would put anyone in a sour mood. I think they rebound nicely and knock off the undefeated Bills.
Bengals (+17) over COWBOYS
The Bengals are terrible and might be without an injured Carson Palmer. The Cowboys are coming off a loss to the future Super Bowl champs. The Cowboys are a good football team, but no team outside of the 2007 Patriots should not be 17 point favorites. That line is just too high, especially for a Wade Phillips team. Also, its never a good sign when an owner comes down to the sideline as Jerry Jones did last week against the Skins. The Cowboys are one upset loss away from crumbling under the weight of Texas sized egos.
JAGUARS (-4) over Steelers
Did you see the Monday night game? Roethlisberger and the Steelers were under pressure the entire game by Ray Lewis and the Ravens. They lost offensive lineman Kendall Simmons for the season, further depleting a ravaged o-line. The Jags should feast on Roethlisberger and by the end of this game he'll feel like he just fell off his motorcycle.
SAINTS (-3) over Vikings
Week 4: not so good.



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